It looks like five Covid treatments likely won’t make the NICE list this year, the UK’s cost-effectiveness watchdog recently announced, and neither will J&J’s esketamine.
The country’s National Institute for Health and Care Excellence, which advises the National Health Service, released draft guidance on Wednesday that recommends against Regeneron’s monoclonal antibody combo Regen-Cov (also known as casirivimab and imdevimab), GSK’s Xevudy (sotrovimab), and AstraZeneca’s Evusheld (tixagevimab and cilgavimab) due to uncertainty over just how effective they are against Omicron.
The watchdog also recommended against Merck’s Lagevrio (molnupiravir) and Gilead’s Veklury (remdesivir) over cost-effectiveness issues. NICE gave a thumbs-down to all five treatments in the outpatient setting, and Regen-Cov and Veklury in hospital settings regardless of the need for supplemental oxygen.
“The evidence for all the treatments we’ve looked at is highly uncertain because most of the studies were carried out before the emergence of the now dominant Omicron variant of Covid-19,” Helen Knight, interim director of medicines evaluation at NICE, said in a news release.
The news comes months after the FDA pulled its emergency use authorization for Xevudy over data that suggested the treatment was “unlikely to be effective” against the BA.2 subvariant. Regen-Cov is similarly not authorized for use anywhere in the US due to the spread of Omicron.
“We remain committed to testing and evaluating the effectiveness of sotrovimab against new variants and sharing data with regulators and health authorities, a GSK spokesperson told Endpoints News in an email on Wednesday. “We will continue to engage with NICE in this ongoing Multiple Technology Appraisal with the aim of maintaining access to sotrovimab for patients who need it.”
Back in February, US regulators warned that Evusheld “may be less active against certain Omicron subvariants,” but said in an update last month that they continue to recommend the pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) drug to prevent Covid, as “Evusheld still offers protection against many of the currently circulating variants and may offer protection against future variants.”
NICE says it’s drafting separate guidance on Evusheld in the prophylaxis setting, and expects to have a decision in the spring.
Meanwhile, the agency recommended three drugs for use going forward, including Pfizer’s Paxlovid, Roche’s RoActemra (sold as Actemra in the US for rheumatoid arthritis) and Eli Lilly’s Olumiant, which hasn’t yet received a marketing authorization for Covid in the UK.
NICE specified that this is merely draft guidance, and is subject to change. The agency also welcomed comments and additional evidence.
“We are ready to work with all the companies whose products have not been recommended in this draft guidance, and with NHS England, to explore whether there is scope for any commercial or other solutions that could address the issues highlighted by the independent appraisal committee,” Knight added.
A Merck spokesperson rejected the draft guidance on Wednesday, telling Endpoints in an email that it’s “not uncommon for an initial NICE assessment to be negative.”
“We do not believe the draft guidance regarding molnupiravir (LAGEVRIO) reflects the clinical profile of LAGEVRIO and the value that may represent to NHS. We will continue working with NICE as part of the consultation process,” the spokesperson said.
“This draft guidance does not reflect the full body of data available, nor is it in line with the broad range of evidence-based guidelines from around the world including the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Disease, the World Health Organisation (WHO), the U.S. National Institute of Health, and the NICE COVID-19 Rapid Guideline,” Gilead told Endpoints.
Regeneron and AstraZeneca did not respond to requests for comment as of press time.
NICE also handed down a negative draft decision for J&J’s Spravato (esketamine), dealing a tough blow to the broader hallucinogenics field. The FDA first approved Spravato in 2019 for treatment-resistant depression, and while it isn’t a traditional psychedelic because it doesn’t act on the same serotonin receptors as LSD or psilocybin, it can have dissociative effects such as hallucination.
Despite Janssen’s attempts to appeal prior NICE draft guidance, the agency said in a final appraisal document last week that it doesn’t recommend esketamine for patients with treatment-resistant depression who’ve failed on at least two other antidepressants.
NICE said in its decision:
The company positioned esketamine nasal spray for people who have had at least 3 antidepressants before, with or without another treatment like lithium or an antipsychotic medicine. This is narrower than the marketing authorisation, and also how clinical experts advised esketamine would likely be used in NHS practice. The clinical evidence at this positioning is uncertain because it only considers a small number of people from the full clinical trial population.
In its appeal letter, Janssen argued earlier this year that NICE acted unfairly and exceeded its powers, calling the initial appraisals “unreasonable.”
“The Committee recognises that clinical uncertainties are inherent to clinical trials in mental health but provides no explanation of how (if at all) this situation has been taken into account in its decision making,” the letter states.
