New projections published by the COVID-19 Research Consortium predict a surge in current cases that will continue into the fall and peak in mid-October, partially accelerated by the rapid spread of delta variants.
Justin Lessler, an epidemiologist at the University of North Carolina who helps run the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, told NPR that it was the most probable of the four scenarios included in the ensemble forecast. Only 70% of people are vaccinated and delta variants are 60% more transmissible. According to wrestlers, this trajectory culminates in mid-October with approximately 60,000 COVID-19 cases and 850 deaths daily.
Data from Johns Hopkins University show a nationwide increase in cases, and health experts repeatedly warn that areas with low vaccination rates are particularly vulnerable to deltas.
“The outbreak of the virus in this country is in line with our most pessimistic scenario,” Wrestler said. “In addition to the effects of delta variants, you may have seen people’s synergies become less cautious.”
However, wrestlers also said that “there are many uncertainties in these projections,” and the results could be affected by factors such as changing immunization rates and the resurgence of community health measures. I have.
Even in the news:
► The White House refuses to publish a groundbreaking number of COVID-19 cases among vaccinated staff after one aide tested positive for the virus earlier this week. increase.
► People with significantly weakened immunity should consider a third dose of COVID-19 vaccine and take other precautions, such as wearing a mask and confirming vaccination with those around them. There is, says a member of the Federal Advisory Board.
► Louisiana Governor Bell Edwards resumes wearing masks indoors for vaccinated and unvaccinated people as more than 1,000 people in the state are hospitalized with COVID I’m asking you to. The governor said Louisiana had the highest rate of new cases per capita than any other state, but did not say it would implement mask mandates or new restrictions.
► The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention warned Friday that the common respiratory virus has revived and the season for particularly severe flu may be approaching.
► Journalists and other social media users quickly fix Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott because of medical privacy laws after refusing to disclose COVID-19 vaccination status at a press conference on Friday. did.
► Currently, many states, cities, and towns across the United States are spending time on emergency funding allocated from the $ 1.9 trillion US rescue program, reflecting an unexpected reality. Many states rebounded faster than expected.
► Although the rural population of Liberty County, Florida is the smallest in the state, it is among the top 15 in the state for new COVID-19 cases, alongside the other four Big Bend counties. As the highly contagious delta variant spreads rapidly, Liberty County becomes a hot zone in a state of fire.
► Thousands of people went to the streets of Sydney and other Australian cities on Saturday to protest the blockade restrictions amid a surge in incidents. Police arrested several times after the crowd broke through the barriers and threw plastic bottles and plants.
📈Today’s numbers: According to data from Johns Hopkins University, more than 34.4 million COVID-19 cases have been identified and 610,720 have died in the United States. Global total: more than 193 million cases and 4.1 million deaths. According to the CDC, more than 162.4 million Americans (48.9% of the population) are fully vaccinated.
📘What we are reading: People who have been completely vaccinated with COVID-19 can become infected, but serious illness is rare. “It’s not 100%, but nothing in the world is 100%,” said epidemiologist Carlos Del Rio. Please check this out for details.
Keep updating this page for the latest news. Want more? Sign up for USA TODAY’s Coronavirus Watch newsletter to receive updates directly in your inbox and join our Facebook group.
A Tennessee radio host suspected of being hospitalized with COVID, according to family members
A Tennessee-based conservative talk radio host changed his previous skeptical message about the vaccine after being hospitalized with COVID-19, his family said.
Phil Valentine posted on social media discourages the audience from vaccination, is admitted to the emergency room, is oxygenated, but does not use ventilators if there is no “risk of death” in COVID. .. According to his brother, Mark Valentine.
“First of all, I regret that he was not a louder supporter of vaccination,” Valentine said. “For those who are listening, I know he will tell you if he can tell you this. Stop worrying about politics. About all conspiracy theories Stop worrying. “
— Jeanine Santucci, USA TODAY
According to polls, most unvaccinated Americans are not going to be shot.
According to a new poll, the majority of unvaccinated Americans do not plan to be vaccinated with COVID-19.
According to the Associated Press and NORC Public Relations and Research Center polls, 35% of American adults who have not yet been vaccinated say they probably won’t get the injection, and 45% say they will never get it. ..
Studies have found that unvaccinated people are not confident in the effectiveness of the vaccine. 64% say they have little or no confidence in the vaccine, even for the highly diffusive delta mutants, which currently make up the majority of cases in the United States.
The findings came from a high-incidence state governor asking people who remained unvaccinated to fire. The investigation was conducted this week before many Republican governors and lawmakers appealed.
Alabama Governor Kay Ivy said Thursday that the surge in state COVID cases “has come to start blaming unvaccinated people” and failed to lead Alabama to a pandemic. Called criticism.
Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis also sought vaccination.
“I think this is the most important thing in the data. If you are vaccinated and fully vaccinated, your chances of getting seriously ill or dying from COVID are virtually zero,” DeSantis said. Said on Tuesday in St. Petersburg, Florida. Looking at people in hospitals, over 95% are either completely unvaccinated or not vaccinated at all. These vaccines are saving lives. We are reducing mortality. “
Florida recorded more coronavirus cases this week than California, Texas, New York, and Illinois combined, according to an analysis of state and federal data by Palm Beach Post, part of the USA TODAY network.
Federal court lifts CDC COVID rules for Florida-based cruise ships in a court battle
Pandemic regulations on Florida-based cruise ships are no longer in place under the Federal Court of Appeals’ ruling on Friday, but the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention aims to fight Florida lawsuits that challenge the regulations. I am.
A committee of three judges from the 11th US Circuit Court of Appeals temporarily blocked last Saturday’s ruling in favor of Florida authorities, but the court overturned that decision on Friday and the CDC appealed. He explained that he was unable to qualify for a pending stay. CDC cruise ship regulations are no longer enforceable, but can be used as guidelines.
However, by maintaining the rules, the CDC can prevent future outbreaks of COVID-19 on vessels vulnerable to virus spread due to frequent berthings in densely populated areas and foreign ports. Said.
— Associated Press
The era of vaccine lottery is coming to an end. There is a duty here.
Health officials and politicians have been trying to stay positive in recent months as vaccination rates plummet and they look to advertising campaigns to promote prizes and lottery draws. And the epidemic delta variant has arrived.
Health officials now say that unvaccinated people are getting sick rapidly and that vaccine protection is being “stress-tested”, causing a public health crisis that swirls with the country’s delayed vaccine rates. increase. More and more voice choruses say that those who resist vaccination should face pressure — and the consequences.
Some hospital managers agreed and health care workers who refused to be vaccinated were dismissed or resigned in New Jersey and Texas. In New York City, public health workers who refuse vaccination face weekly COVID tests.
“Getting the vaccine is (and should be) an easy choice,” Dr. Lina Wen, a proponent of the vaccine obligation, told USA Today. “Opt-out must be a difficult choice.” Read more.
— Joel Shannon, USA TODAY
The state shrinks virus reports in the same way that cases surge
Several states, including Florida, Nebraska, Iowa, and South Dakota, have reduced reports of this month’s COVID-19 statistics in real-time on outbreaks, incidents, hospitalizations, and deaths, just as incidents across the country have begun to surge. I robbed the people of this information. In their community.
The tendency to reduce data reporting has surprised infectious disease professionals who believe that more information is better during a pandemic. People have come to rely on state virus dashboards to decide whether to attend large rallies or wear masks in public. Understanding the level of risk in the community affects how people respond to virus restrictions and vaccination calls.
However, experts have long advised that it makes more sense to pay more attention to the 7-day moving average of new cases, as the numbers can vary widely from day to day. In addition, maintaining daily virus updates requires considerable resources for the state. Epidemiologist Janet Hamilton said some of the problems were labor-intensive to create daily dashboards because public health authorities generally do not have sophisticated data systems.
— Josh Funk, Associated Press
US buys Pfizer vaccine 200 million more times “to prepare for any contingency”
The federal government has purchased another 200 million more Pfizer corona virus vaccines to prepare for future needs, such as boosters and injections for children under the age of 12.
White House spokesman Jen Psaki said the Biden administration wanted to have “maximum flexibility” to deal with changing situations and “prepare for any contingencies.” Additional doses will be provided between this fall and next spring.
It’s unclear if booster shots are needed for fully vaccinated people, but the breakthrough infections caused by the rapidly spreading delta mutations have sparked controversy. Most new cases of coronavirus in vaccinated people were mild or asymptomatic.
Contribution: Associated Press
The forecast says COVID-19 surged last month.U.S. buys more Pfizer
