OHSU predicts current COVID wave will reach levels as high as January surge


A patient waits for care in the hallway of the emergency department at Salem Health in Salem, Ore., Jan. 27, 2022, during the initial omicron surge.

A patient waits for care in the hallway of the emergency department at Salem Health in Salem, Ore., Jan. 27, 2022, during the initial omicron surge.

Kristyna Wentz-Graff / OPB

Oregon will continue to see a rise in COVID-19 cases, along with hospitalizations and deaths, over the next few weeks. That’s according to Oregon Health & Science University data scientist Peter Graven.

The current surge is driven by the omicron subvariants BA.4 and BA.5, which are the most transmissible of the COVID-19 variants thus far in the pandemic. They’re also very good at evading immunity from vaccines and prior infections.

Graven’s forecast indicates that infection levels will likely be similar to what Oregon experienced with the first omicron wave in January.

On Monday’s “Think Out Loud,” we will talk with Graven about his latest forecast.

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